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market timing performance

climbing the market We provide market timing signals to our subscribers along with other general information about market timing - sometimes also called trend timing, stock timing or active risk managment - and investing. Whether you have never heard of timing before, or you are already aware of its possibilities, we hope you profit in some way from your visit to our site.

Any investment strategy, including buy and hold, requires some belief that the results, over a specific timeframe, will be favorable. Pursuing a diversification of investment strategies can be as important as a diversification of investment assets. On-average and over time, we believe that our market timing system will produce advantage over buy-and-hold investing. This is not a comparison of just weeks or months, but of years. In unfavorable or stagnant market conditions, investors may be more likely to rethink being fully devoted to buy-and-hold, although the strategy has been successful over very large timeframes.

Steady Climbing

Steady Climbing Market Timing is a subscription service that provides end-of-day (EOD) trading signals for active investment management. These market timing signals are most commonly used with index funds or funds from Rydex, Profunds and Direxion; companies whose offerings include specialty funds commonly referred to as leveraged funds, double beta funds, high beta funds, negatively correlated funds, bear market funds, or inverse funds. Our signals can be used with 401k investment strategies, HSA investment strategies, or IRA investment strategies. The market timing models are not designed as trend following, but could be described as trend timing - designed to gain advantage in bull or bear markets. Our long-short or long-short-cash market timing signals should attract those looking for gain in up or down market environments; our long-only signals should appeal to those uncomfortable with shorting, or those only seeking capital preservation during a down trend.

Timer Trac

The signals from our market timing models are audited by a third-party, Timer Trac to provide Subscriber assurance of our integrity. Signals to Subscribers are delivered through email, RSS and members-only areas of the website.

steady returns There are four Steady Climbing models that produce our four market timing signals. At our Performance page, you have an opportunity to review the audited performance of each of the models. Basic descriptions for each of the models is listed below.

Climber

This is our flagship model, designed to produce the highest return of all our systems. This model takes no cash positions, but is always taking either long or short market positions. As this model is designed to produce the highest returns, it is also the most volatile of the models. On average, this model will make half of its gains in long positions and half in short positions.

This is an aggressive signal, designed for maximum performance. Access to Rydex, Profunds, or Direxion fund families is typically used to allow short and leveraged index positions to be taken.

Strider

This is the long-only version of the Climber model. This model will generate either Long or Cash market timing signals. It will typically approximate the performance of the Climber model in Bull Markets, but because Cash signals are triggered during Bear Market action, it will generally produce flat returns during those periods, partially depending on the conservative investment used.

For those who do not like shorting the market through negatively correlated funds, this is our our most aggressive long-only model. We use this signal for our HSA investments, as the limited investment selection and trading restrictions call for a slower pace. Most 401k plans have a S&P500 fund along with a conservative selection like a money market or bond fund. This type of pairing can be used with either long-only model. Check your plan carefully for trading restrictions and trading costs.

Mountaineer

This model generates Long, Cash, or Short positions. It usually slightly underperforms the Climber model, but in some market environments, it may surpass the Climber. Some additional caution is built into the model, with the intention of producing less volatility.

This is an aggressive signal, designed for high performance. Access to Rydex, Profunds, or Direxion fund families is typically used to allow short and leveraged index positions to be taken.

Orienteer

This is the long-only version of the Mountaineer model. This model will generate either Long or Cash market timing signals. It will typically approximate the performance of the Mountaineer model in Bull Markets, but because Cash signals are triggered during Bear Market action, it will generally produce flat returns during those periods, partially depending on the conservative investment used. It is the least aggressive model, and will usually have the lowest performance of the four systems.

For those who do not like shorting the market through negatively correlated funds, this is our our most conservative, risk averse, long-only model. Most 401k plans have an S&P500 fund along with a conservative selection like a money market or bond fund. This type of pairing can be used with either long-only model. Check your plan carefully for trading restrictions and trading costs.

the next timing signal Our market timing models evaluate new data every market day. This produces signals for each of our models an average of every two weeks.  Subscribers are provided with timely signal information through email, RSS, and website access. To protect the benefit our subscribers pay for, the information displayed through the Timer Trac links is delayed, and the information on this page is not specific enough for use.

The next signal from one of our models is estimated to arrive in:

LESS THAN DAYS

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There are two icons which differentiate public content from subscriber content:

  - represents public content

  - represents subscriber content

Much of our content is dated using a YYYYMMDD format.

The area below carries our most current content, consolidated from all areas of the site. Most of the current content will consist of timing signals for subscribers.

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  20080818 Timer Commentary (in: MARKET BLOG)
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  20080804 Timer Commentary (in: MARKET BLOG)