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Occasional commentary about investing, timing or market observations, especially relating to the Steady Climbing models.
...we said we did not see much strength in upside thrusts without retesting the lows again. So twice there since then - where is the muscle?...
...what can the market deduce from the lack of transparency?...There is still too much complacency and not enough panic for a clean wash out...
...The only commodity reported in short supply is caustic soda, perhaps due to the current political climate...
...After hearing some sad stories from friends about their retirement savings being savaged by this bear market, we decided to offer a very simple, free timing signal...
...Facing the new normal for the next two to four years may be very boring for market adrenaline junkies...
...Investors who usually only pay attention to their mutual funds when they get their month-end statements are now skittish and on full alert....
...The 1000-day MA is also close to starting its own downtrend. The last time this happened was in 2002, when the market rolled over for another leg down...
...the market has crawled up through several levels of resistance and taken up line-dancing along the downward-sloping 50-day moving average...
...If you had been asked what would happen to the stock market if oil prices fell 18%, what would you have said?...
...Maybe this is a better way to frame the investigation: do we have an average set of problems riding this correction?...
...we read about the strong inverse correlation between oil and stocks - don't be surprised to see oil come down and stocks not respond all that well...
...There's nothing like pictures of people waiting in line to pull money out of their banks to create fear and uncertainty...
...Both of our long-only models continue to jump around a sideways trendline - confirming behavior for bear market action...